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Predictors for Emergency Cesarean Delivery in Women with Placenta Previa

机译:前置胎盘妇女紧急剖宫产的预测因素

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摘要

Objective The objective of this study was to identify the predictors of emergency delivery in women with placenta previa. Methods This is a retrospective study of pregnancies complicated by placenta previa, scheduled for a cesarean delivery between 2001 and 2011. Using univariable and multivariable regression predictors for emergency delivery in these women were determined. Predictive performance was assessed using receiver operating characteristic analysis and calibration plot. Internal validation was performed by bootstrap analysis. Results Of 214 women with singleton pregnancies, 93 (43%) had an emergency cesarean delivery, and 43 (20%) were preterm. Independent predictors for emergency delivery were history of cesarean section (odds ratio [OR], 4.7; 95% confidence interval [Cl], 1.2-12), antepartum bleeding with one (OR, 7.5; 95% CI, 2.5-23), two (OR, 14; 95% CI, 4.3-47), and three or more episodes (OR, 27; 95% CI, 8.3-90) as well as need for blood transfusion (OR, 6.4; 95% CI, 1.7-23). For emergency preterm delivery, covariates were comparable. The area under the curve was 0.832 on the original data and 0.821 on the bootstrap samples. Conclusion Predictors for emergency delivery in women with placenta previa can be used for individualized antenatal care concerning timing of delivery and corticosteroid cover. Potentially, careful selection in women with placenta previa can result in more conservative treatment in an outpatient setting and reduction of iatrogenic preterm delivery
机译:目的本研究的目的是确定前置胎盘妇女紧急分娩的预测因素。方法这是一项对妊娠合并前置胎盘妊娠的回顾性研究,计划于2001年至2011年间进行剖宫产。使用单变量和多变量回归预测指标确定这些妇女的紧急分娩。使用接收器工作特性分析和校准图评估了预测性能。内部验证通过自举分析进行。结果214名单胎妊娠妇女中,有93名(43%)进行了紧急剖宫产,其中43名(20%)为早产。紧急分娩的独立预测因素是剖宫产史(几率[OR]为4.7; 95%置信区间[Cl]为1.2-12),产前出血1例(OR为7.5; 95%CI为2.5-23),两次(OR,14; 95%CI,4.3-47)和三次或更多发作(OR,27; 95%CI,8.3-90),以及需要输血(OR,6.4; 95%CI,1.7 -23)。对于紧急早产,协变量具有可比性。原始数据的曲线下面积为0.832,自举样品的曲线下面积为0.821。结论前置胎盘妇女紧急分娩的预测指标可用于分娩时机和糖皮质激素覆盖率的个性化产前护理。潜在地,对前置胎盘妇女进行仔细选择可能会导致门诊环境中的治疗更为保守,并减少医源性早产

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